I just happened to read through
an article on GE on buyback of its shares. I thought to put my thoughts as to
why this decision has been made.
One of the biggest decisions
which any firm has to make is to consider the option of buying back the firm's
shares. The following points make firms to opt for a buyback:
1. If the Firm is sitting on
pile of cash.
2. To make their stock look
attractive.
3. Change the structure of
their capital (Debt/Equity).
4. To project a better
financial ratios.
Let us consider GE in this
case. GE has to buyback its shares due to the poor performance of its
subsidiary firm GE Capital. GE Capital suffered due to recession which took
place in the year 2008. It invested in many alternative investments. One such
investment is real estate. The credit markets froze due to the falling prices
of real estate and GE couldn't fund its day to day operations. The result of
this is the drop in day to day activities, layoffs, profit margins etc. Due to
the recession, the financials of GE have taken a hit and eventually led to drop
in share price.
How does buyback help GE
·
Buyback of shares increases the key ratios of GE. Earnings per
share of GE will increase since the number of outstanding shares in the markets
goes down which in turn increase the value of EPS.
EPS = (Net Income – Preferred Dividends) /
Outstanding number of shares
·
Return on Assets (ROA) will also increase since cash is considered
to be an asset and GE has to pay existing shareholders with the cash to
complete the buyback.
ROA = Net Income / Average total assets
·
P/E ratio is considered to be attractive when it is low. Due to
the buyback, the EPS will increase which in turn decreases the P/E ratio of GE.
P/E = Market Value per Share / Earnings per
Share (EPS)
·
The existing shareholders who are holding shares will have an
advantage since GE will buyback the shares at a premium and shareholders who
are in favor of buyback will earn good amount of profits.
·
Any long term investor would always use the fundamental analysis
as his/her weapon while choosing a long term investment and the fundamental
analysis includes these key ratios as well.
·
Once the investors look into these financials they feel all the
more attractive towards this stock and keep buying the shares which have now
increased in value as the buyback has happened. Once GE gains back the investor
confidence again, they can go for a an FPO (Optional) and raise money so that
they can payback their debts which in turn increases its working capital
efficiency.
·
Since the economic conditions were poor for a period of time after
recession , the stock value of GE is undervalued. Buyback will help the stock
price to rise and remain competitive.
One important thing to be
considered after buyback is the share price. Initially the share price may
increase but gradually it might decrease as well. Investors should analyse
carefully and then proceed with the investment.
Overall, GE remains a good
stock pick for the investors due to varied reasons such as its brand value,
diversity in business, long standing history of the firm etc. My opinion for a
profitable long term investment for any investor is to include GE in his
portfolio of stocks.
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